Selected Publications of CODAM Scientists Aikman, F., G. L. Mellor, T. Ezer, D. Shenin, P. Chen, L. Breaker, K. Bosley, and D. B. Rao, Toward an operational nowcast/forecast system for the U.S. east coast, In: Modern Approaches to Data Assimilation in Ocean Modeling, P. Malanotte-Rizzoli Ed., Elsevier Publ., 61, 347-376, 1996. Anderson, J. L., The climatology of blocking in numerical forecast model, J. Clim., 6, 1042-1056, 1993. Anderson, J. L., A simulation of atmospheric blocking with a forced barotropic model, J. Atmos. Sci., 53, (15), 2113-2128, 1996. Anderson, J. L., A method of producing and evaluating probabilistic forecasts from ensemble model integrations. Journal of Climate, 9 (7), 1518-1530, 1996. Anderson, J. L., Selection of initial conditions for ensemble forecasts in a simple perfect model framework. J. Atmos. Sci., 53 (1), 22-36, 1996. Anderson, J. L., and W. F. Stern, Evaluating the potential predictive utility of ensemble forecasts. J. Climate, 9 (2), 260-269. Blumberg, A. F. and G. L. Mellor, A description of a three-dimensional coastal ocean circulation model, Three-Dimensional Coastal ocean Models, edited by N. Heaps, 208 pp., American Geophysical Union, 1987. Bryan, K., A numerical method for the study of the circulation of the world ocean, J. Comput. Phys., 4(3), 347-376, 1969. Cox, M.D., A primitive equation, three-dimensional model of the ocean, GFDL Ocean Group Technical Report No. 1., NOAA/Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Lab., Princeton, NJ, 75 pp. 1984. Derber, J. and A. Rosati, A global oceanic data assimilation system. J. Phys. Oceanog., 19, 1333-1347, 1989. Ezer, T., D. S. Ko and G. L. Mellor, Modeling and forecasting the Gulf Stream, Oceanic and Atmospheric Nowcasting and Forecasting, edited by D. L. Durham and J. K. Lewis, Mar. Tech. Soc. Journal, 26(2), 5-14, 1992. Ezer, T. and G. L. Mellor, A numerical study of the variability and the separation of the Gulf Stream, induced by surface atmospheric forcing and lateral boundary flows, J. Phys. Oceanogr., 22, 660-682, 1992. Ezer, T., G. L. Mellor, D. S. Ko and Z. Sirkes, A comparison of Gulf Stream sea surface height fields derived from Geosat altimeter data and those derived from sea surface temperature data., J. Atmos. Oceanic. Technol., 10, 76-87, 1993. Ezer, T., On the interaction between the Gulf Stream and the New England Seamount Chain, J. Phys. Oceanogr., 24, 191-204, 1994. Ezer, T. and G. L. Mellor, Continuous assimilation of Geosat altimeter data into a three-dimensional primitive equation Gulf Stream model, J. Phys. Oceanogr., 24, 832-847, 1994. Ezer, T. and G. L. Mellor, Diagnostic and prognostic calculations of the North Atlantic circulation and sea level using a sigma coordinate ocean model, J. Geophys. Res., 99(C7), 14,159-14,171, 1994. Ezer, T., G. L. Mellor, and R. J. Greatbatch, On the interpentadal variability of the North Atlantic ocean: Model simulated changes in transport, meridional heat flux and coastal sea level between 1955-1959 and 1970-1974, J. Geophys. Res., 100, In Press, 1995. Ezer, T. and G. L. Mellor, Data assimilation in the Gulf Stream region: How useful are satellite-derived surface data for nowcasting the subsurface fields?, J. Atmos. Ocean Tech., special issue on data assimilation and model evaluation, In press, 1997. Griffies, S. M. and K. Bryan, North Atlantic thermohaline circulation predictability in a coupled ocean-atmosphere model, J. Clim., Submitted, 1995. Griffies, S. M. and E. Tziperman, A linear thermohaline oscillator driven by stochastic atmospheric forcing, J. Clim., 8, 2440-2453, 1995. Griffies, S. M. and K. Bryan, predictability of North Atlantic multidecadal climate variability, Science, 275, 181-184, 1997. Gu, D and S. G. H. Philander, Secular changes of annual and interannual variability in the tropics during the past century, J. Clim., Submitted, 1993. Lee, S., and J. L. Anderson, A simulation of atmospheric storm tracks with a forced barotropic model. J. Atmos. Sci., 53 (15), 2113-2128, 1996. Malanotte-Rizzoli, P. and E. Tziperman, 1996. The Oceanographic Data Assimilation Problem: Overview, Motivation and Purposes. Modern approaches to data assimilation in ocean modeling, Malanotte-Rizzoli, Ed., Elsevier, 3-17. Mellor, G. L., User's guide for a three-dimensional, primitive equation, numerical ocean model, 35 pp., Prog. in Atmos. and Ocean. Sci, Princeton University, 1992. Mellor, G. L. and T. Yamada, A hierarchy of turbulence closure models for planetary boundary layers, J. Atmos. Sci., 13, 1791-1806, 1974. Mellor, G. L. and T. Yamada, Development of a turbulent closure model for geophysical fluid problems, Rev. Geophys., 20, 851-875, 1982. Mellor, G. L. and A. F. Blumberg, Modeling vertical and horizontal diffusivities with the sigma coordinate system, Mon. Wea. Rev., 113, 1380-1383, 1985. Mellor, G. L., An equation of state for numerical models of ocean and estuaries, J. Atmos. Oceanic Technol., 8, 609-611, 1991. Mellor, G. L. and T. Ezer, A Gulf Stream model and an altimetry assimilation scheme, J. Geophys. Res, 96, 8779-8795, 1991. Miyakoda, K., A. Rosati and R. Gudgel, ENSO forecasting with a coupled model, Part I: The system, Mon. Weather Rev., Submitted, 1994. Pacanowski, R., K. Dixon and A. Rosati, 1991: The G.F.D.L Modular Ocean Model Users Guide, GFDL Ocean Group Technical Report No. 2, 44 pp., 1991. Philander, S. G. H., R. C. Pacanowski, N.-C. Lau and N. J. Nath, Simulation of ENSO with a global atmospheric GCM coupled to a high-resolution tropical pacific ocean GCM, J. Clim., 5, 308-329, 1992. Philander, S. G. H., Review of "Currents of Change: El Niqo's Impact on Climate and Society," by M.H. Glantz. Nature, 385 (6611), 194, 1997. Philander, S. G. H., El Niqo, La Niqa, and the Southern Oscillation. In Encyclopedia of Climate and Weather, Vol. 1, New York: Oxford University Press, 273-277, 1996. Philander, S. G. H., D. Gu, D. Halpern, G. Lambert, N-C. Lau, T. Li, and R.C. Pacanowski, Why the ITCZ is mostly north of the equator. J. Clim., 9 (12) Part I, 2958-2972, 1996. Pinardi, N., A. Rosati and R. C. Pacanowski, The sea surface pressure formulation of rigid lid models, implications for altimetric data assimilation studies, J. Mar. Sys., 6, 109-119, 1994. Rosati, A., R. Gudgel and K. Miyakoda, Decadal series of ocean data assimilation, Mon. Weather Rev., In Press, 1995. Rosati, A., R. Gudgel, and K. Miyakoda, Global ocean data assimilation system. In Modern Approaches to Data Assimilation in Ocean Modeling, Elsevier Science, 181-203, 1996. Sirkes, Z., E. Tziperman and C. W. Thacker, Combining Data and a Global Primitive Equation Ocean General Circulation Model Using the Adjoint Method. In: Modern approaches to data assimilation in ocean modeling, Malanotte-Rizzoli, P. Ed., Elsevier, 119-145, 1996. Toggweiller, J. R. and B. Samuels, Is the magnitude of the deep outflow from the atlantic ocean actually governed by southern hemisphere winds? in The global Carbon Cycle, ed. M. Heimann, 303-331, NATO ASI Ser. I, Vol. 15, 1993. Toggweiler, J. R. and B. Samuels, Effect of Drake passage on the global thermohaline circulation, Deep Sea Res., Submitted, 1993. Toggweiller, J. R., The ocean's overturning circulation, Phys. Today, 47, 45-50, 1994. Tziperman, E., W. C. Tacker and K. Bryan, Computing the steady oceanic circulation using an optimization approach, Dyn. Atmos. Ocean, 16, 379-403, 1992. Tziperman, E. and K. Bryan, Estimating global air-sea fluxes from surface properties and from climatological flux data using an oceanic general circulation model, J. Geophys. Res., 98, 22,629-22,644, 1993. Tziperman, E., J. R. Toggweiller, Y. Felix and K. Bryan, Instability of the thermohaline circulation with respect to mixed boundary conditions: Is it realy a problem for realistic models?, J. Phys. Oceanog., 24, 217-232, 1994. Tziperman, E., M. A. Cane and S. Zebiak, 1995: Irregularity and locking to the seasonal cycle in an ENSO prediction model as explained by the quasi- periodicity route to chaos. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 52, 293-306. Willems, R. C., S. M. Glenn, M. F. Crowley, P. Malanotte-Rizzoli, R. E. Young, T. Ezer, G. L. Mellor, H. G. Arango, A. R. Robinson, and C.-C. Lai, Experiment evaluates ocean models and data assimilation in the Gulf Stream, EOS, Transactions, American Geophysical Union, 75(34), 385-394, 1994.